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A model for predicting whether or not a spell in the Harry Potter book series was used in the seventh book.

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Potter

A model for predicting whether or not a spell in the Harry Potter book series was used in the seventh book.

Inspiration

This project was inspired by Code2040's 2017 Fellow application. The datasets on spells was provided by Code2040 (in two forms: spells & mentions) and modified by me to fit the training method used (Linear Regression).

Dataset

The datasets were preprocessed in Ruby (I have reasons why. The code will be transformed to Python in the future.) The datasets has the following features:

  • Classification [charm, curse, jinx, spell]: Classification type of each spell.

  • Consequence [float]: Total influence of a spell, measured by the difference between the sentiment scores of mentions involving the spell i.e. score of mention w/o spell and w/ spell (the Effect is inserted instead of the spell name)

  • Sentiment [float]: Sentiment score of the effect of each spell.

  • Count [int]: Number of times each spell was used in books 1 - 6.

  • Appearance [int]: whether or not a spell was used in book 7.

Architecture

A simple linear model trained with Linear Regression to make binary classification of spells. Due to insufficient data, KernelLinearClassifier is used to improve models prediction accuracy.

Result

Accuracy: 45%

Loss: 0.69

Training time: ~21 sec

Lesson

Several attempts to improve the model and increase its accuracy, by tuning, was to no avail. I learned that small/insufficient datasets are tough to create a Machine Learning model for with linear classifiers. An architecture such as Neural Network Random Forest (NNRF) known for training models with small datasets might be employed in the future.

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A model for predicting whether or not a spell in the Harry Potter book series was used in the seventh book.

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