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rodolphomacedo · Nov 9, 2022 · f7db47f · f7db47f
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diff --git a/_sources/Untitled.ipynb b/_sources/Untitled.ipynb
diff --git a/_sources/parte_3.ipynb b/_sources/parte_3.ipynb
diff --git a/_sources/parte_4.ipynb b/_sources/parte_4.ipynb
diff --git a/_sources/parte_5.ipynb b/_sources/parte_5.ipynb
diff --git a/objects.inv b/objects.inv
diff --git a/parte_2.html b/parte_2.html
@@ -1187,7 +1187,7 @@ <h2>Calculando coisas com a nossa amostra da Posteriori<a class="headerlink" hre
 <div class="cell_output docutils container">
 <img alt="_images/parte_2_56_0.png" src="_images/parte_2_56_0.png" />
 <div class="output stream highlight-myst-ansi notranslate"><div class="highlight"><pre><span></span>Probabilidade da proporção de água (p) na superfície da Terra estar 
- entre 0.5 e 0.7 é igual à 48%, dado a amostra.
+ entre 0.5 e 0.7 é igual à 50%, dado a amostra.
 </pre></div>
 </div>
 </div>

diff --git a/parte_3.html b/parte_3.html
diff --git a/parte_4.html b/parte_4.html
diff --git a/parte_5.html b/parte_5.html
diff --git a/reports/Untitled.log b/reports/Untitled.log
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+Traceback (most recent call last):
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/jupyter_cache/executors/utils.py", line 51, in single_nb_execution
+ executenb(
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 1117, in execute
+ return NotebookClient(nb=nb, resources=resources, km=km, **kwargs).execute()
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/util.py", line 78, in wrapped
+ return just_run(coro(*args, **kwargs))
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/util.py", line 57, in just_run
+ return loop.run_until_complete(coro)
+ File "/usr/lib/python3.8/asyncio/base_events.py", line 616, in run_until_complete
+ return future.result()
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 558, in async_execute
+ await self.async_execute_cell(
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 862, in async_execute_cell
+ self._check_raise_for_error(cell, exec_reply)
+ File "/home/rodolpho/Projects/bayesian/BAYES/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 765, in _check_raise_for_error
+ raise CellExecutionError.from_cell_and_msg(cell, exec_reply_content)
+nbclient.exceptions.CellExecutionError: An error occurred while executing the following cell:
+------------------
+spl.design_matrix
+------------------
+
+[0;31m---------------------------------------------------------------------------[0m
+[0;31mAttributeError[0m Traceback (most recent call last)
+[0;32m/tmp/ipykernel_81029/3889434849.py[0m in [0;36m<module>[0;34m[0m
+[0;32m----> 1[0;31m [0mspl[0m[0;34m.[0m[0mdesign_matrix[0m[0;34m[0m[0;34m[0m[0m
+[0m
+[0;31mAttributeError[0m: 'BSpline' object has no attribute 'design_matrix'
+AttributeError: 'BSpline' object has no attribute 'design_matrix'
+
diff --git a/reports/parte_4.log b/reports/parte_4.log
@@ -17,21 +17,40 @@ Traceback (most recent call last):
  raise CellExecutionError.from_cell_and_msg(cell, exec_reply_content)
 nbclient.exceptions.CellExecutionError: An error occurred while executing the following cell:
 ------------------
-import numpy as np
-import pandas as pd
-import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
-import stan
-import nest_asyncio
+# ===============================================
+# Plot da Posteriori da B-Spline de Grau 3
+# ===============================================
+plt.figure(figsize=(17, 9))
+
+plt.scatter(cherry_not_na.year, cherry_not_na.temp, marker='o', alpha=0.5, s=7) # Plot da amostra
+
+plt.fill_between(cherry_not_na.year, HPDI_posteriori_spline_3[:, 0], HPDI_posteriori_spline_3[:, 1], # Plot HPDI
+ color='red', alpha=0.3, label='HPDI da Posteriori') 
+
+plt.plot(cherry_not_na.year, mean_posteriori_spline_3, color='black', label='Média da posteriori') # Plot da Média
+
+plt.plot(cherry_not_na.year, alpha_spline_3[:, :n_plot] + Bw_spline_3[:, :n_plot], # Plot do Intevalo da Média (Sem o HPDI)
+ color='red', linewidth=0.1, alpha=0.1) 
+
+plt.title('Posteriori da B-Spline \n HPDI de ' + str(intervalo_credibilidade) + '%')
+plt.xlabel('Ano')
+plt.ylabel('Posteriori \n (Temperatura de Março)')
+plt.grid(ls='--', color='white', alpha=0.6)
+
+plt.text(2000, 8.1, 'Um problema que pode acontecer \n quando geramos a spline com a \n última e a primeira ponta da função \n "presa".')
+
+plt.show()
 ------------------
 
 [0;31m---------------------------------------------------------------------------[0m
-[0;31mModuleNotFoundError[0m Traceback (most recent call last)
-[0;32m/tmp/ipykernel_353675/585069264.py[0m in [0;36m<module>[0;34m[0m
-[1;32m 2[0m [0;32mimport[0m [0mpandas[0m [0;32mas[0m [0mpd[0m[0;34m[0m[0;34m[0m[0m
-[1;32m 3[0m [0;32mimport[0m [0mmatplotlib[0m[0;34m.[0m[0mpyplot[0m [0;32mas[0m [0mplt[0m[0;34m[0m[0;34m[0m[0m
-[0;32m----> 4[0;31m [0;32mimport[0m [0mstan[0m[0;34m[0m[0;34m[0m[0m
-[0m[1;32m 5[0m [0;32mimport[0m [0mnest_asyncio[0m[0;34m[0m[0;34m[0m[0m
-
-[0;31mModuleNotFoundError[0m: No module named 'stan'
-ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'stan'
+[0;31mIndexError[0m Traceback (most recent call last)
+[0;32m/tmp/ipykernel_81404/1197164469.py[0m in [0;36m<module>[0;34m[0m
+[1;32m 11[0m [0mplt[0m[0;34m.[0m[0mplot[0m[0;34m([0m[0mcherry_not_na[0m[0;34m.[0m[0myear[0m[0;34m,[0m [0mmean_posteriori_spline_3[0m[0;34m,[0m [0mcolor[0m[0;34m=[0m[0;34m'black'[0m[0;34m,[0m [0mlabel[0m[0;34m=[0m[0;34m'Média da posteriori'[0m[0;34m)[0m [0;31m# Plot da Média[0m[0;34m[0m[0;34m[0m[0m
+[1;32m 12[0m [0;34m[0m[0m
+[0;32m---> 13[0;31m plt.plot(cherry_not_na.year, alpha_spline_3[:, :n_plot] + Bw_spline_3[:, :n_plot], # Plot do Intevalo da Média (Sem o HPDI)
+[0m[1;32m 14[0m color='red', linewidth=0.1, alpha=0.1) 
+[1;32m 15[0m [0;34m[0m[0m
+
+[0;31mIndexError[0m: too many indices for array: array is 1-dimensional, but 2 were indexed
+IndexError: too many indices for array: array is 1-dimensional, but 2 were indexed
 
diff --git a/reports/parte_5.log b/reports/parte_5.log
diff --git a/searchindex.js b/searchindex.js