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rodolphomacedo committed Aug 11, 2023
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4 changes: 3 additions & 1 deletion _sources/capa.md
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@@ -1,4 +1,6 @@
# Estatistica Bayesiana
# Estatística Bayesiana

## Probabilidade Inversa


<img src='./images/Laplace.jpg' alt='Laplace' width=1000 class="center">
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion _sources/intro_en.md
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Expand Up @@ -9,4 +9,4 @@ These are my notes about the Statistical Rethinking course | Richard McElreath.
```


Bayesian statistics is a tool that allows us to reason, think and understand some strands of wisdom within the complexity of Nature.
Bayesian statistics, or inverse probability, is a tool that allows us to reason, think and understand some strands of wisdom within the complexity of Nature.
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion _sources/intro_pt-BR.md
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Expand Up @@ -10,5 +10,5 @@ Estas são minhas notas sobre curso Statistical Rethinking | Richard McElreath.


```{note}
Estatística bayesiana é uma ferramenta que nos permite raciocinar, pensar e entender alguns fios de sabedoria dentro da complexidade da Natureza.
Estatística bayesiana, ou probabilidade inversa, é uma ferramenta que nos permite raciocinar, pensar e entender alguns fios de sabedoria dentro da complexidade da Natureza.
```
4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions _sources/parte_2.ipynb
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"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"Esse capítulo terá\n",
"dois objetivos principais:\n",
"**Esse capítulo terá dois objetivos principais:**\n",
" \n",
"1. Construir a intuição de como a atualização funciona, ou seja, como os Golems `aprendem com a experiência.`\n",
" \n",
" \n",
"2. Apresentar uma intuição sobre `como construir esses modelos.`"
]
},
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22 changes: 19 additions & 3 deletions capa.html
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<head>
<meta charset="utf-8" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0" />
<title>Estatistica Bayesiana &#8212; Statistical Rethinking</title>
<title>Estatística Bayesiana &#8212; Statistical Rethinking</title>

<link href="_static/css/theme.css" rel="stylesheet">
<link href="_static/css/index.ff1ffe594081f20da1ef19478df9384b.css" rel="stylesheet">
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -87,7 +87,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<ul class="nav bd-sidenav">
<li class="toctree-l1 current">
<a class="reference internal" href="#">
Estatistica Bayesiana
Estatística Bayesiana
</a>
</li>
</ul>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -254,6 +254,19 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<!-- Table of contents -->
<div class="d-none d-md-block col-md-2 bd-toc show">

<div class="tocsection onthispage pt-5 pb-3">
<i class="fas fa-list"></i> Contents
</div>
<nav id="bd-toc-nav" aria-label="Page">
<ul class="visible nav section-nav flex-column">
<li class="toc-h2 nav-item toc-entry">
<a class="reference internal nav-link" href="#probabilidade-inversa">
Probabilidade Inversa
</a>
</li>
</ul>

</nav>
</div>
</div>
</div>
Expand All @@ -263,8 +276,11 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<div>

<div class="tex2jax_ignore mathjax_ignore section" id="estatistica-bayesiana">
<h1>Estatistica Bayesiana<a class="headerlink" href="#estatistica-bayesiana" title="Permalink to this headline"></a></h1>
<h1>Estatística Bayesiana<a class="headerlink" href="#estatistica-bayesiana" title="Permalink to this headline"></a></h1>
<div class="section" id="probabilidade-inversa">
<h2>Probabilidade Inversa<a class="headerlink" href="#probabilidade-inversa" title="Permalink to this headline"></a></h2>
<a class="center reference internal image-reference" href="_images/Laplace.jpg"><img alt="Laplace" class="center" src="_images/Laplace.jpg" style="width: 1000px;" /></a>
</div>
<div class="toctree-wrapper compound">
</div>
</div>
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion genindex.html
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Expand Up @@ -79,7 +79,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<ul class="nav bd-sidenav">
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="capa.html">
Estatistica Bayesiana
Estatística Bayesiana
</a>
</li>
</ul>
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49 changes: 47 additions & 2 deletions intro_en.html
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Expand Up @@ -88,7 +88,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<ul class="nav bd-sidenav">
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="capa.html">
Estatistica Bayesiana
Estatística Bayesiana
</a>
</li>
</ul>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -128,6 +128,51 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
5 - Muitas Variáveis e os Waffles Espúrios
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_6.html">
6 - Os DAGs assombrados &amp; O Terror Causal
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_7.html">
7 - Compasso de Ulisses
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_8.html">
8 - Os peixes-bois condicionais
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_9.html">
9 - Markov Chain Monte Carlo
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_10.html">
10 - Grande Entropia e Modelos Lineares Generalizados
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_11.html">
11 - A cravada de Deus e Inteiros
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_12.html">
12 - Monstros e Misturas
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_13.html">
13 - Modelos com Memória
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_14.html">
14 - Aventuras na Covariâncias
</a>
</li>
</ul>

</div>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -225,7 +270,7 @@ <h1>Intro - Bayesian Statistics (🇺🇸)<a class="headerlink" href="#intro-bay
<p class="admonition-title">Warning</p>
<p>These are my notes about the Statistical Rethinking course | Richard McElreath. Written in Portuguese (pt-BR) using jupyter-notebook and freely available on github and githubpages.</p>
</div>
<p>Bayesian statistics is a tool that allows us to reason, think and understand some strands of wisdom within the complexity of Nature.</p>
<p>Bayesian statistics, or inverse probability, is a tool that allows us to reason, think and understand some strands of wisdom within the complexity of Nature.</p>
</div>

<script type="text/x-thebe-config">
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53 changes: 49 additions & 4 deletions intro_pt-BR.html
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<link rel="index" title="Index" href="genindex.html" />
<link rel="search" title="Search" href="search.html" />
<link rel="next" title="Intro - Bayesian Statistics (🇺🇸)" href="intro_en.html" />
<link rel="prev" title="Estatistica Bayesiana" href="capa.html" />
<link rel="prev" title="Estatística Bayesiana" href="capa.html" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1" />
<meta name="docsearch:language" content="None">

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -88,7 +88,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<ul class="nav bd-sidenav">
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="capa.html">
Estatistica Bayesiana
Estatística Bayesiana
</a>
</li>
</ul>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -128,6 +128,51 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
5 - Muitas Variáveis e os Waffles Espúrios
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_6.html">
6 - Os DAGs assombrados &amp; O Terror Causal
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_7.html">
7 - Compasso de Ulisses
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_8.html">
8 - Os peixes-bois condicionais
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_9.html">
9 - Markov Chain Monte Carlo
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_10.html">
10 - Grande Entropia e Modelos Lineares Generalizados
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_11.html">
11 - A cravada de Deus e Inteiros
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_12.html">
12 - Monstros e Misturas
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_13.html">
13 - Modelos com Memória
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_14.html">
14 - Aventuras na Covariâncias
</a>
</li>
</ul>

</div>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -227,7 +272,7 @@ <h1>Intro - Estatística Bayesiana (🇧🇷)<a class="headerlink" href="#intro-
</div>
<div class="admonition note">
<p class="admonition-title">Note</p>
<p>Estatística bayesiana é uma ferramenta que nos permite raciocinar, pensar e entender alguns fios de sabedoria dentro da complexidade da Natureza.</p>
<p>Estatística bayesiana, ou probabilidade inversa, é uma ferramenta que nos permite raciocinar, pensar e entender alguns fios de sabedoria dentro da complexidade da Natureza.</p>
</div>
</div>

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -260,7 +305,7 @@ <h1>Intro - Estatística Bayesiana (🇧🇷)<a class="headerlink" href="#intro-
<i class="fas fa-angle-left"></i>
<div class="prev-next-info">
<p class="prev-next-subtitle">previous</p>
<p class="prev-next-title">Estatistica Bayesiana</p>
<p class="prev-next-title">Estatística Bayesiana</p>
</div>
</a>
<a class='right-next' id="next-link" href="intro_en.html" title="next page">
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52 changes: 48 additions & 4 deletions parte_2.html
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Expand Up @@ -90,7 +90,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<ul class="nav bd-sidenav">
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="capa.html">
Estatistica Bayesiana
Estatística Bayesiana
</a>
</li>
</ul>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -130,6 +130,51 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
5 - Muitas Variáveis e os Waffles Espúrios
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_6.html">
6 - Os DAGs assombrados &amp; O Terror Causal
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_7.html">
7 - Compasso de Ulisses
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_8.html">
8 - Os peixes-bois condicionais
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_9.html">
9 - Markov Chain Monte Carlo
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_10.html">
10 - Grande Entropia e Modelos Lineares Generalizados
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_11.html">
11 - A cravada de Deus e Inteiros
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_12.html">
12 - Monstros e Misturas
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_13.html">
13 - Modelos com Memória
</a>
</li>
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="parte_14.html">
14 - Aventuras na Covariâncias
</a>
</li>
</ul>

</div>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -370,8 +415,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<div class="tex2jax_ignore mathjax_ignore section" id="engenharia-de-golems">
<h1>2 - Engenharia de Golems<a class="headerlink" href="#engenharia-de-golems" title="Permalink to this headline"></a></h1>
<p><a class="reference external" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XoVtOAN0htU">Aula - Statistical Rethinking Winter 2019 Lecture 02</a></p>
<p>Esse capítulo terá
dois objetivos principais:</p>
<p><strong>Esse capítulo terá dois objetivos principais:</strong></p>
<ol class="simple">
<li><p>Construir a intuição de como a atualização funciona, ou seja, como os Golems <code class="docutils literal notranslate"><span class="pre">aprendem</span> <span class="pre">com</span> <span class="pre">a</span> <span class="pre">experiência.</span></code></p></li>
<li><p>Apresentar uma intuição sobre <code class="docutils literal notranslate"><span class="pre">como</span> <span class="pre">construir</span> <span class="pre">esses</span> <span class="pre">modelos.</span></code></p></li>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1187,7 +1231,7 @@ <h2>Calculando coisas com a nossa amostra da Posteriori<a class="headerlink" hre
<div class="cell_output docutils container">
<img alt="_images/parte_2_56_0.png" src="_images/parte_2_56_0.png" />
<div class="output stream highlight-myst-ansi notranslate"><div class="highlight"><pre><span></span>Probabilidade da proporção de água (p) na superfície da Terra estar
entre 0.5 e 0.7 é igual à 50%, dado a amostra.
entre 0.5 e 0.7 é igual à 48%, dado a amostra.
</pre></div>
</div>
</div>
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Expand Up @@ -85,7 +85,7 @@ <h1 class="site-logo" id="site-title">Statistical Rethinking</h1>
<ul class="nav bd-sidenav">
<li class="toctree-l1">
<a class="reference internal" href="capa.html">
Estatistica Bayesiana
Estatística Bayesiana
</a>
</li>
</ul>
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion searchindex.js

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