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Module 4 Final Project

By David Cuervo

Background

Select the 5 best zipcodes in Austin to invest in.

Austin_housing_sales

Contents of Repository

  • Time folder containing original Zillow data
  • Notebook containing the code used for preprocessing and modeling
  • PDF of presentation

Approach

  • Used data from Zillow from 1996 to 2018
  • Filtered the data for zipcodes in Austin, TX
  • Changed the format of the date time data
  • Reshaped the data from wide to long
  • Used a function that would select the best parameters for the ARIMA model based on the mean squared errors
  • Visualized the forecast of housing sale values for the next 3 years
  • Calculated the predicted return on investment
  • Repeated for all 38 zipcodes in Austin
  • Selected the top 5

Best forecast in Austin: 78741 78741_forecast

Conclusions

  • Top 5 zipcodes with highest expected return on investment: 78751, 78758, 78722, 78702, 78741
  • Any zipcode in Austin is increasing in value

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Time series analysis of housing sale values in Austin, TX per zipcode

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  • Jupyter Notebook 99.8%
  • Python 0.2%